US presents new plan for European security and guarantees for Ukraine

Ahead of trilateral meetings with Ukraine and Russia scheduled for November 10 and 11 in Abu Dhabi, the US has presented a new initiative for European security and security guarantees for Ukraine.

The Trump administration’s proposal includes holding ongoing security consultations, ensuring communication during crises, military transparency and measures to prevent conflicts from escalating.

US envoy Jared Kushner explains that respect for states’ sovereignty and territorial integrity lies at the heart of the initiative. According to him, no state will have the right to determine another state’s alliances, while NATO will retain its central role in Europe’s collective defense.

Experts, however, are concerned that Russia could exert influence over the future of European security and NATO’s role. In their assessment, Moscow has shown no willingness to compromise, and the biggest obstacles remain the occupied territories and guarantees for Ukraine’s security after the war ends.

Given the deep divide between the parties’ positions, experts do not expect a major agreement to be reached in Abu Dhabi. Expectations for these talks are limited to incremental progress.

Financing Ukraine’s reconstruction poses another challenge: the country’s needs over the next ten years are estimated at around $588 billion.

US and European diplomatic efforts to create the conditions for peace are continuing. However, it remains unclear whether Russia will agree to halt the fighting and guarantee Ukraine’s security.